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Today — 9 November 2024Seth's Blog

Dumbing it down

9 November 2024 at 10:00

There’s a lot of pressure to make things dumber. Better to make it dumb than to have someone simply walk away, apparently.

With so much to consume, and an unlimited amount to learn, there’s a race to make knowledge into a checklist item. Freon gas! Large language model! Coefficients! Many people just want to say a magic word and move on.

Of course, if we dumb things down, they become dumb.

This is not the same as simplifying concepts before adding nuance.

Four year olds easily learn to speak, and many kids in second grade can read. Not because they have a dumb version, but because someone cared enough to make the method simple.

There are simple explanations for quantum mechanics and for auto mechanics as well. They simply take a while to understand well enough to teach them to other people.

Start with basic principles, go slow and build. No need to dumb it down. Simple it up instead.

We have enough dumb. We need more simple.

Yesterday — 8 November 2024Seth's Blog

Clear ice

8 November 2024 at 10:10

I love Zamboni machines.

They’re ungainly, they’re slow but they’re also majestic. Like an elephant for ice hockey.

After each period, when the ice is chopped up by play, the Zamboni rolls out and leaves behind a sheet of perfect ice. Cold, smooth and untouched.

It’s useful to acknowledge that the same service is offered to each of us, every night. We wake up in the morning with a freshly smoothed-over day in front of us.

Our intentions determine our first few moves, the way we’ll engage with today’s ice. And those moves often lead to the next ones, and on and on, until the day is over.

Add up enough clear ice days and the pattern becomes set.

Before yesterdaySeth's Blog

The problem with the movie version

7 November 2024 at 11:03

There are lights, camera and action, but mostly there’s the unreality of making it fit.

Happily ever after, a climax at just the right moment, perfect heroes, tension, resolution and a swelling soundtrack. Every element is amplified and things happen right on schedule.

Consume enough media and we may come to believe that our life is carefully scripted, and that we’re stars of a movie someone else is directing.

This distracts us from the truth that real life is more muddled and less scripted. There is no soundtrack. We’re actually signed up for a journey and a slog. Nothing happens ever after. It’ll change, often in a way we don’t expect.

We have no choice but to condense a story when we want to film it. Our real story, on the other hand, cannot be condensed, it can only be lived. Day by day.

The paradox of points

6 November 2024 at 10:30

Points aren’t just for games. Points are how we keep score and decide what to do next. Pick your scorekeeping wisely.

Too much focus on the score can bend us or break us, pushing us to engage with too much focus and without regard for balance.

And our attachment to obvious points strips us of our agency and independence.

If it’s subtle, variable and up to the user, the uncertainty can amplify our insecurity. “Wear festive clothing,” is an unwelcome line on an invitation, because the point system is unclear. How do I fit in? How do I not lose, or even win?

On the other hand, if the points on offer are industrialized, transactional or predictable, it quickly dehumanizes us into profit-seeking automatons. But at scale, this sort of easily communicated metric is common.

The word ‘jerk’ describes what happens to a human who is controlled by an assembly line (or a horse by a whip). A visitor to the first Ford assembly line was amazed at how the stopwatch and the pursuit of humans-as-a-resource mindset was turning people into puppets.

Points and compliance. Choose carefully.

Wearing the costume

31 October 2024 at 10:03

There’s a huge difference between carrying a stethoscope and being a doctor.

And being a clown requires far more than getting a clown suit.

Entrepreneurs with business cards, slick websites and mission statements are confused. That’s not the hard part.

If the costume puts you in the right frame of mind, that’s great. But the hard part is the important part.

Can you list the parts that matter? (hint: they might be the parts you’re avoiding.)

Five lessons from week one of This is Strategy

30 October 2024 at 17:43

Once you decide to write a book about strategy, it raises the bar for having a strategy for the launch.

People generally focus far too much on the launch of a project. Rocketships need a perfect launch, because just about everything after the launch is simply ballistic. But most of us don’t work at Cape Canaveral.

The world of books is a metaphor for a lot of industries, where old methods aren’t working well but persist in sticking around. First-time authors are often pushed into a cycle of hustle and scarcity, which leads to burnout and disappointment.

The alternative isn’t easy, but it’s worth embracing. It can be effective in more than just a book launch.

Celebrate the true fans

The seductive promise of the book industry (or movies, or fashion, or any business that has “star maker machinery”) is that they will somehow introduce your idea to strangers.

It certainly worked for JD Salinger and even Joni Mitchell. But it hardly works that way now.

This is Strategy had a great launch, perhaps the most successful book I’ve done in years, because 1,000 people showed up first and made a difference. This opened the door for others who wanted to be part of the conversation.

In their rush to reach strangers, traditional publishers ignore the opportunity to dance with people who are already excited. In my case, thanks to purple.space and the loyal readers of this blog, there were folks eager to offer me the benefit of the doubt.

Creating the launch package, with seven books, the collectible (and delicious) chocolate and the powerful strategy deck (check them out) gave this group of magical people first dibs on something special, as well as a chance to share it.

The first step to publishing a book well begins long before you decide to write a book.

Create the scaffolding for the idea to spread

Books aren’t unique, but the math is particularly compelling: They never achieve any of their useful goals in the first week. A network TV show used to get all of its viewers the first and only time it ran. A book, on the other hand, is worth writing if people are reading and talking about it years later.

The launch is a chance to model that behavior. If the launch simply focuses on getting the word out, it’s likely that the word will fade over time. But, if people talk to one another as part of what you’re doing, they’re more likely to continue to do so.

Last week, in hundreds of cities around the world, readers came together to talk about strategy. Not about my book, but about their strategy and how they can improve it. More than eighty bookstores stepped up to volunteer their spaces, and the book became a catalyst for conversation. Getting a copy wasn’t the point–talking about the work to be done was.

Ignore false proxies

How many people liked that post on Instagram? How did the book rank on the Times list? What did the first reviewers have to say?

It’s so easy to see, tempting to manipulate, and, ultimately, pointless. The proxy of the Times list has been so manipulated that it’s now meaningless–and the work publishers and authors put into shifting their efforts into this antiquated measurement is distracting and ultimately wasted.

A false proxy is convenient, vivid and unhelpful. It’s like asking a programmer how many words per minute they can type. It might be useful to be a fast typist, but it doesn’t help you become a great programmer.

Normalize the idea

I did more than 80 podcasts that launched last week. (I’m grateful for the passionate people that power this medium, and delighted by the magic of our conversations). That might seem like a way to get the word out to promote a book, but that’s not really what’s happening. People don’t usually hear a podcast and then open their phones to buy a book.

Instead, a book is a chance to have a conversation. The conversation is the product, the book is just the catalyst.

When an author and publisher spend the time and effort to produce a book, they’re actually demonstrating a commitment and sending a signal that this is worth talking about. The conversations I did, though exhausting, were a foundation for the conversations I hope that others will have going forward.

Successful non-fiction books are now a souvenir of an idea that is spreading and worth understanding.

Abundance instead of scarcity

For four hundred years, the only way to get a book on a store’s bookshelves was for some other book to come off the shelf. There wasn’t enough room for it to be any other way.

Now, with online shopping and digital formats, there’s infinite shelf space. It’s “and” instead of “or.”

That’s one reason why the launch matters so much less than it used to–it’s not a useful proxy for shelf space any longer.

My publisher understands the new math. Instead of focusing on limited access and short-term measurements, the posture is to be promiscuous with the ideas and to weave together communities of practice and interest. The magic of an idea is that if I share it with you, we both have it.

My launch partner on the audiobook has a similar mindset. While the default online marketplace model is to hold search hostage, keeping a huge share of the proceeds in exchange for offering a scarce slot in their store, there are new options. Discovery doesn’t just happen in the online store’s search box. Since most of the readers seeking the book in the early days already know my work and can find this page, I can bypass this scarce resource and offer a reader and author-friendly alternative.

Abundance is generative, and it also gives us room for gratitude. The acknowledgments of a book are my favorite part to write, because so many people, people not mentioned on the cover, are involved in producing and delivering an idea of value. I don’t get to list all the readers, of course, or the people they talk to about the book, and that’s the real point of this post, and the book itself.

If you want to change a system, change the culture. And if you want to change the culture, it helps to create the conditions for people to step up, talk about it, and take action.

The run-on sentence

30 October 2024 at 09:28

Periods were an extraordinary invention. It took thousands of years of writing before we settled on this simple convention.

The most direct way to improve your writing is to make your sentences shorter.

I was reading a magazine article yesterday and was rapidly losing interest. The topic appealed to me, but I couldn’t keep reading. Then I noticed that halfway through the first column, I was still on the same sentence.

We have trouble keeping that long a string in our heads at once.

You can make sentences too long.

But it’s hard to make them too short.

What do we owe the future?

29 October 2024 at 10:03

You are someone’s ancestor.

Most immediately, you are the ancestor of the you of tomorrow.

That’s why we don’t spend every penny in our bank account, why we put leftovers in the fridge, why we earn a degree–it’s a gift to the you of tomorrow.

Each of us have a way of thinking about our ancestorhood.

The circle of now is how far into the future you’re hoping to make an impact. Do you care enough to invest in a thousand tomorrows? What will you invest in (or sacrifice, depending on your point of view) to receive in the future?

And the circle of us is how many people you’re considering in the actions you take today.

The most convenient, easiest and visceral choice is to make no choice at all. Keep your circles small, focused on pleasure and the short-term win. If we don’t think about it, this is what we might collide with. No friend at all to our descendants, including our future self.

When we’re at our best, though, we expand those circles, creating generative possibility for ourselves and those around us. Everyone feeds their circles, the opportunity is to make them bigger.

Bina Venkataraman has written about this better than I ever could.

Choose to choose the circle you want to be part of. Become the ancestor you’d like to thank.

“I didn’t see you there”

27 October 2024 at 09:49

Someone I’ve worked with over the years happened to be driving down my street. I called out and said hello…

They ignored me. So I repeated myself.

“Oh,” they said, recognizing me. “It’s you.”

We’re more likely to see, hear and care if the person over there is actually a person. A person we know, or admire, or recognize.

If you write a nasty email to a company, it might make you feel sheepish if someone actually responds. “I didn’t know you were going to read it…”

It’s easy to exclude people who aren’t like us, who might have a disability or come from a different background or group.

Not just exclude them, but not design for them, account for them, listen to them or see them with dignity.

Boring to who?

26 October 2024 at 11:03

Sometimes, marketers, musicians or speakers dig themselves into a solipsistic rabbit hole.

They’ve heard their stuff before. They think everyone else has too.

So they bury the lede, look for new laughs and most of all, try to avoid boring themselves.

Which often leads to confusion or controversy or, most of all, a muddy message.

You’re not speaking up to entertain yourself. You’re here to teach the next group of people who need to hear from you.

Empathy in communication requires you to repeat the stuff that works as you continue to explore the next layer of what might work even better.

In the words of my late friend Jay Levinson, “Don’t change your story when you’re bored, or when your partner is bored, or when your team is bored. Change your story when your accountant is bored.”

Important problems

24 October 2024 at 10:29

Some problems are easy to solve, others are difficult, requiring a lot more labor, willpower, resources and coordination.

Some problems have simple solutions, while others are complex in what it takes to move forward.

The trivial problems are fun. They’re simple to solve and don’t require much effort. Yes, please, go solve them.

We’re tempted to focus on the problems that are complicated but apparently easy. Somehow, a tweet or a scientific paper or some other announcement is all that it will take to unknot this situation. Tempting, but unlikely. If all it took to solve an easy problem was telling people the solution, we probably would have solved it already.

The other temptation is to seek out problems that are difficult to solve and complicated to organize around. After all, a herculean problem like this is so hard that no one can fault you if you don’t succeed.

What truly matters, though, are the important problems. The ones that aren’t rocket science, but need a significant amount of guts, emotional labor and community coordination to solve. They’re here. Right in front of us. Simple but difficult. But worth it.

Full circle with myopia

23 October 2024 at 11:03

In 1983, an old article from the Harvard Business Review changed my life.

In 1960, Ted Levitt, a professor at HBS, wrote the most popular article in the Review’s history. Called Marketing Myopia, it described a different way of thinking about change and marketing.

I was a (very) young MBA student at Stanford and somehow got an interview for a summer job working as the assistant to Jim Levy, the CEO of Activision. At the time, they were the fastest-growing company in the history of the world.

Instead of meekly sharing my resume, I went in brandishing a copy of Levitt and HBR. I explained, with confidence, that Activision might be the Penn Central of their time, and they needed to be strategic in their approach to the market, broadening their focus away from the Atari console that accounted for what felt like 98% of their revenue.

He stood up to throw me out of his office. “Well, so much for that,” I thought.

At that moment, one of his VPs ran in with the Cashbox magazine bestseller list. Activision had 9 of the top 10 bestselling titles. The two of them ran down the hall to celebrate.

An hour later, Jim returned to his office, saw I was still sitting there, forgot why he was angry with me and offered me a summer job, one I ended up not taking. It didn’t matter, though, because I had seen the light.

I think Ted put his finger on something urgently important, and the lesson of the paper has stuck with me throughout my career.

This week, forty years in the making, Harvard published an edited version of my expansion of his idea, called strategy myopia.

I hope Ted would be pleased.

Strategy myopia is task focused. It’s based on a desire to get a guaranteed result for specified effort. It involves meetings and plans and powerpoints. Strategy myopia afflicts people who prioritize tactics over the hard work of finding a worthwhile strategy in the first place.

We can avoid it, but first we have to acknowledge it and discuss it.

[PS 40+ new podcast appearances are now live. Here’s an updated collection of them.]

Thoughts on audiobooks

22 October 2024 at 21:03

I’m listening more than reading these days, and I find that a good audiobook can make a real impact on the way I absorb and learn from a book. It’s a once in a century sort of shift in this medium.

My new book is now available in audio. It’s not on Audible, at least not now. Audible has exploited their dominant position and the offer they make to authors is unfair and almost untenable. I’m not sure their monopoly is as secure as they hope though–all of us have a podcast app on our phones, and services like SupportingCast now deliver books seamlessly to a podcast app–at the same time they bring authors closer to listeners.

SupportingCast makes it easy for audiobook creators to produce updates and reach the audience after the book is published–something that’s impossible with a print book, and forbidden by Amazon/Audible.

I think we’re about a year away from the majority of audiobooks being narrated by AI. One more upgrade in quality and they’ll deliver a better, cheaper alternative than all but the most skilled narrators. Reading the new book cost me my voice for more than a month, but I wasn’t happy with the AI version of me, so here I am.

With each section, I asked myself, “Am I doing the reader a service?” Just as typography took over from calligraphy, I think it’s likely that the answer one day soon will be, “actually, the AI can do this with more clarity.” But as long as I had the mic, I was eager to do the best I could.

As always, AI replaces mediocre work long before it provides a realistic or better alternative to the nuance, passion and insight that a human brings. But the arc here is clear.

Thanks for supporting the work.


And Strategy Week continues on LinkedIn. Don’t miss these (if you come live, you can ask questions, but they’ll all be recorded as well).

Lawrence Lessig

Dr. Anaya Elizabeth Johnson

Jacqueline Novogratz

Tina Roth Eisenberg

The Strategy Questions

22 October 2024 at 11:03

My new book (out today) contains more than 500 questions. Here are some to get you started:

  • Who is this project for? Who is my smallest viable audience?
  • What change do I seek to make with this project?
  • What is my strategy to make this change happen? Can I articulate it clearly?
  • What resources and assets do I have to dedicate to this project? Do I have enough kindling to burn this log?
  • What is my timeline for this project? When does it ship and what is my deadline for calling it quits?
  • What systems am I currently working within? Does the system want what I have to offer?
  • What systems would need to change for my project to succeed? How can I create the conditions for that change?
  • Where will I cause tension? What resistance should I anticipate from others (and myself)?
  • What are the status roles and affiliations at play?
  • How big is my circle of us and circle of now? What can I do to expand them? What about my audience’s circles?
  • Why would someone talk about or recommend my project to others?
  • How can I create the conditions for a network effect to develop around my project?
  • Where are the feedback loops, and which ones move my work forward or slow it down?
  • Which games are being played? Who sets the rules?
  • Which games are winnable, which are oppositional? And which games don’t need to be won, simply played?
  • What can I learn to increase my odds of success? Where can I gain that knowledge?
  • Where is the smallest viable audience? How do they think about status and affiliation?
  • Which false proxies are likely to distract me? What matters?
  • Am I taking advantage of the shift being caused by a change agent? Or do I need to become one?
  • What asset would transform my project? How do I acquire it?
  • If an early adopter talks about my project, what will they say?
  • Where is the empathy? Does my work align with the actual motivations and interests of the audience?
  • What is the tension that I’m eagerly creating in the system by showing up with my change?
  • Am I building the scaffolding people will need to adopt and move forward?
  • Does this help the dominant forces in the system continue to achieve their goals or does it challenge their status quo?
  • What’s my position? Are people who choose an alternative making a good choice based on their needs?
  • What can I learn from comparable projects that have succeeded or failed?
  • Is my strategy simple to describe and hard to stick to?
  • What partnerships, alliances or collaborations could increase the scaffolding around this project?
  • Am I tapping into an insatiable desire?
  • What’s the process for altering the strategy based on what I learn?
  • Is my strategy resilient enough that we can actually look forward to surprises?
  • Is the network effect sufficient to insulate me from a race to the bottom? Can I create a network that is built on abundance, not scarcity?
  • Is the change I’m making contagious? How can I alter the culture I’m creating to make it more so?
  • How will early successes of my project make later successes more likely?
  • What are the tropes and requirements of the genre I’ve chosen?
  • How do we gain insight into the probability that our assertions will work out?
  • Can I make it easier for others to decide?
  • Where are the non-believers, and how do I avoid them?
  • How does my project tap into existing social desires for status, affiliation, and/or security to help propel its adoption and spread?
  • What frayed edges, anomalies, or contradictions in the current system could serve as leverage points for introducing my alternative?
  • What metrics is the current system optimizing for? How could my strategy re-align incentives and feedback loops around different measures of success?
  • How does my project seek to shift part of the culture from a scarcity mindset to an abundance mindset?
  • What incumbents might perceive my project as a threat to their power or position? How does my strategy navigate those political dynamics?
  • How can I design for network effects, enabling each new participant to create value for all the other participants?
  • What sunk costs might prevent potential stakeholders from embracing my approach? How can I lower the perceived switching costs?
  • What are the common scripts or objections I expect to encounter? How will I constructively respond to skepticism and resistance?
  • How will engaging with my project help people become who they aspire to be? What identity and worldview does it invite them to step into?
  • How can I lower the barrier to entry and make it feel easy and irresistible for people to take the first step with my offering? Where is the scaffolding?
  • How do I shorten the delay in the relevant feedback loops (or learn to thrive with a longer delay)?
  • How do we lower the decision-making barrier to invite participation? Can we make it easy for people to say, “I was right all along?”
  • How can I avoid becoming trapped by sunk costs if my initial strategy proves ill-fated? When should I pivot vs. persist? Where’s the dip?
  • Can I improve project hygiene? What are the standards and conversations I’m avoiding?
  • How will I resist the social gravity and “pull to the center” over time as my project matures and faces pressure to conform? ​

Moving toward ease

18 October 2024 at 10:56

“Ease” isn’t the same as “easy.”

In fact, they’re often at odds.

Easy work is hardly worth our effort. It can deaden us instead of giving us the chance to bring our best selves to life.

Ease, on the other hand, is the feeling of doing something worthwhile, and doing it well.

When we choose a project where the stakes are too high, where stress is our fuel, where conflict is at the heart of the work–we’re unlikely to find ease.

Ease is a combination of purpose, effort and skill. It can feel like confidence, even if we’re not sure it’s going to work. Especially then.

Change your project, change your future. And your project is a direct result of the clients you choose to serve.

Decisions as effort

17 October 2024 at 11:18

Why are we more likely to get tasks done than to take on new initiatives?

Checking something off a to-do list requires far less emotional energy than adding something to the list was in the first place.

As is often the case, “resistance” is the answer.

It’s easy to type a book, hard to write one. That’s because writing one involves making choices.

The effort to perform a task we’ve done before is known in advance. So are the risks. There’s social pressure to do what we promised, and little friction in the way. It’s work, but not challenging.

Initiatives, on the other hand, go the other way around. The effort and repercussions are unknown, and in many settings, the social pressure to accept the status quo is high.

The most important work we do is to make decisions. Decisions don’t seem effortful (turn left or right, say yes or no) but the apparent risk and emotional labor is real. Hard decisions are hard because of the story we tell ourselves about repercussions and responsibility.

Once we acknowledge that taking initiative (which is more accurately described as ‘offering initiative’) requires effort, we can allocate the time and resources to do it well.

Early next week…

16 October 2024 at 23:50

It’s going to get busy around here. I wanted to share some upcoming events (online and in person) so you can plan ahead… there are five more for the end of the week, but here we go:

Linda Rottenberg is joining me on LinkedIn on Monday. She’s built an extraordinary organization that most people have never heard of–Endeavor transforms entrepreneurs who go one to build significant organizations worldwide. We’ll be talking about her strategic insights and the work that matters, and taking your questions.

James Clear will be my guest on Tuesday. He’s one of the most successful business book authors of all time. We’ll be talking about habits, of course, but also about the strategy of the company he’s helping to back, Authors Equity. We’ll take your questions live.

The Worldwide Strategy Meetup also happens on Tuesday. It’s taking place in 200+ cities around the world, and thousands are expected to participate. It’s not too late to find your peers–and it’s free. All the details are here.

My new book launches on Tuesday, October 22, with audiobook and Kindle editions as well. There’s also a collectible chocolate bar (of course there is) with trading cards, and a breakthrough strategy deck, a tool you and your team can use to explore the unseen opportunities all around us. Details are here.

And, on stage and in person (with a virtual option) I’ll be in DC on the 28th with Bina Venkataraman. I’m really looking forward to our conversation. Find out more here.

On the 23rd through the 25th, there are more live online conversations, I’ll keep you posted.

Thanks for being part of this.

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